Nacional vs Sportivo Luqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
28.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
9º
12º
10º
35
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 1
NAC
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 2
RAC
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 1
OLI
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 1
LIB
42%
27%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
JLM
1 - 2
NAC
46%
28%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
LQE
1 - 2
TAC
46%
27%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 1
LQE
71%
19%
11%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
AME
0 - 3
LQE
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
LQE
0 - 3
LIB
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
COQ
1 - 0
LQE
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |