Nacional vs Sportivo Luqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
12º
3º
24
6º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
CCP
1 - 1
NAC
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 2
SPT
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
RES
2 - 1
NAC
26%
28%
46%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 3
JLM
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
AME
2 - 0
NAC
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
LQE
3 - 1
TAC
49%
26%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
LIB
2 - 0
LQE
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
LQE
0 - 1
OLI
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
LQE
2 - 2
CCP
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
SPT
1 - 2
LQE
49%
26%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |