Nacional vs Sportivo Luqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
28.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
SPO
1 - 0
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 2
DEL
36%
26%
39%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 2
GUA
39%
25%
36%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
DEL
3 - 0
NAC
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
CCP
1 - 1
NAC
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2019 |
LQE
1 - 5
OLI
15%
23%
62%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
RPA
2 - 1
LQE
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
LQE
2 - 2
GEN
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
GUA
3 - 0
LQE
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
LQE
2 - 0
RES
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |