Nacional vs Sportivo Luqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
18.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
AME
1 - 0
NAC
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
12O
1 - 1
NAC
22%
27%
51%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 0
GEN
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
MUN
1 - 1
NAC
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
SAN
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
CCP
4 - 0
LQE
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
LQE
2 - 0
AME
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
LQE
1 - 1
GEN
51%
26%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
LQE
2 - 1
12O
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
LQE
40%
28%
33%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |