Nacional vs Sportivo Luqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
16.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
SFE
3 - 1
NAC
55%
24%
22%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
CCP
4 - 1
NAC
51%
25%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 2
GUA
41%
27%
33%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 0
CER
70%
20%
11%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 0
NAC
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2013 |
OLI
1 - 1
LQE
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2013 |
LQE
2 - 2
GEN
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
LIB
0 - 1
LQE
60%
24%
16%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
AME
2 - 4
LQE
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
LQE
0 - 1
RÑU
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |