Nacional vs Sportivo Luqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
9.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 0
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
LQE
72%
19%
9%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
RÑU
3 - 3
NAC
30%
26%
45%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
NAC
5 - 0
IND
59%
24%
18%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2012 |
CER
5 - 0
NAC
26%
26%
48%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
CER
0 - 1
LQE
59%
24%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
LQE
72%
19%
9%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
LQE
2 - 1
OLI
24%
26%
50%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
RÑU
0 - 0
LQE
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
LQE
0 - 2
AME
39%
26%
36%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |