Nacional vs Sportivo Luqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
10.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 0
AME
70%
20%
10%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
RÑU
0 - 0
NAC
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 1
GEN
68%
21%
11%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
TAC
0 - 1
NAC
23%
27%
51%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 0
IND
69%
21%
10%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
LQE
2 - 2
AME
55%
24%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
GEN
1 - 0
LQE
46%
27%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
LQE
1 - 1
IND
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
OLI
5 - 0
LQE
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
LQE
2 - 1
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |