Nacional vs Sportivo Ameliano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
15.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2022 |
TAC
2 - 1
NAC
26%
28%
46%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 0
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 3
LIB
29%
25%
46%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 1
GUA
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
JLM
1 - 2
NAC
41%
29%
31%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Ameliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2022 |
OLI
0 - 2
AME
77%
15%
7%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
AME
0 - 2
TAC
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
LIB
2 - 0
AME
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
AME
1 - 0
JLM
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
12O
2 - 1
AME
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |