Nacional vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
30.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 2
LIB
37%
26%
36%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
NAC
3 - 1
HUA
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
JLM
0 - 1
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
HUA
2 - 1
NAC
27%
25%
48%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 3
NAC
34%
28%
38%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
SPC
1 - 0
MEL
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 1
SPC
13%
22%
66%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SPC
3 - 0
ALI
57%
24%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SPC
2 - 1
TOL
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SPC
0 - 2
MEL
55%
22%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |