Nacional vs Sol de América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
24.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 0
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 0
DEP
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 1
LIB
43%
26%
30%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2017 |
IND
1 - 2
NAC
38%
28%
35%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
EST
0 - 1
NAC
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
AME
1 - 1
GEN
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2017 |
AME
0 - 0
CCP
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
DEP
3 - 0
AME
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
AME
0 - 2
GUA
34%
25%
41%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
LIB
0 - 3
AME
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |