Nacional vs Sol de América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 0
STR
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2013 |
RÑU
2 - 2
NAC
24%
25%
51%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 2
CCP
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
AME
2 - 1
NAC
29%
25%
46%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2013 |
RÑU
1 - 0
NAC
20%
24%
56%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
AME
1 - 2
DEP
53%
24%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2013 |
OLI
1 - 2
AME
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
AME
2 - 1
NAC
29%
25%
46%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 1
AME
55%
24%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
AME
1 - 0
RÑU
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |