Nacional vs Sol de América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
13.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 0
RÑU
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 0
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
LQE
1 - 3
NAC
24%
25%
51%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 0
GEN
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
NAC
3 - 0
OLI
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
AME
1 - 0
DEP
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
RÑU
1 - 1
AME
38%
27%
36%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
AME
3 - 4
LIB
31%
26%
42%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 1
AME
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
AME
1 - 1
CER
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |