Nacional vs Sol de América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
13.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 3
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 0
TAC
62%
23%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 2
CAZ
35%
27%
39%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 0
NAC
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
NAC
22%
25%
53%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
AME
2 - 0
RÑU
42%
26%
33%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
IND
2 - 4
AME
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
AME
4 - 1
CER
55%
24%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
AME
2 - 2
CCP
25%
26%
49%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
RÑU
2 - 0
AME
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |