Nacional vs Sol de América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
10.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
GEN
2 - 0
NAC
17%
25%
58%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 1
LIB
44%
28%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 0
SAN
72%
20%
9%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 2
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 0
OLI
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
AME
3 - 1
IND
47%
27%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
LQE
1 - 2
AME
57%
23%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
CCP
2 - 0
AME
69%
21%
11%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
AME
0 - 0
RÑU
34%
26%
40%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
AME
4 - 0
GEN
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |