Nacional vs Rubio Ñu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 1
AME
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 0
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 0
DEP
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 1
LIB
43%
26%
30%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2017 |
IND
1 - 2
NAC
38%
28%
35%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rubio Ñu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
RÑU
0 - 0
OLI
24%
26%
51%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 2
RÑU
56%
24%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
RÑU
0 - 1
IND
40%
27%
34%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
SPT
0 - 1
RÑU
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2017 |
RÑU
0 - 0
GEN
39%
28%
34%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |