Nacional vs Rubio Ñu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 1
NAC
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
GUA
28%
25%
47%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2016 |
GEN
0 - 2
NAC
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 2
LIB
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
LQE
2 - 1
NAC
50%
26%
25%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rubio Ñu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
RÑU
1 - 1
AME
47%
27%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CCP
1 - 0
RÑU
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
RÑU
0 - 1
DEP
35%
26%
40%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
RPA
0 - 2
RÑU
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
RÑU
0 - 1
GEN
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +2 |