Nacional vs Rubio Ñu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
33.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
NAC
56%
22%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
GEN
1 - 3
NAC
38%
27%
36%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
LQE
30%
27%
43%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +4 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CCP
1 - 2
NAC
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -3 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 3
GEN
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Rubio Ñu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
RÑU
2 - 0
LIB
34%
28%
38%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
LIB
0 - 1
RÑU
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
RÑU
0 - 2
AME
45%
27%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +3 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
OLI
4 - 1
RÑU
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
RPA
1 - 4
RÑU
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -3 |