Nacional vs Rubio Ñu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
19.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 2
OLI
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 0
NAC
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 3
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 0
NAC
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 1
CCP
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rubio Ñu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CCP
1 - 1
RÑU
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
RÑU
1 - 1
AME
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
RÑU
2 - 2
LQE
46%
27%
28%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
RÑU
3 - 1
12O
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
RÑU
42%
26%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |