Nacional vs Rubio Ñu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
13.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 3
NAC
31%
28%
41%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 0
NAC
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 0
AME
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 2
GUA
51%
25%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
TAC
0 - 1
NAC
22%
25%
53%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Rubio Ñu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
RÑU
1 - 1
LQE
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
LIB
3 - 0
RÑU
68%
21%
12%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
RÑU
1 - 0
IND
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CCP
3 - 0
RÑU
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
RÑU
0 - 0
CER
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |