Nacional vs Club River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
20.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
CCP
1 - 0
NAC
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
OLI
4 - 0
NAC
81%
14%
6%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 0
12O
63%
23%
15%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 0
NAC
66%
21%
14%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 0
SPO
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Club River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
RPA
0 - 4
OLI
9%
18%
74%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
12O
0 - 1
RPA
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
RPA
1 - 0
GUA
20%
24%
56%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
SPO
0 - 0
RPA
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
RPA
1 - 2
LIB
17%
23%
61%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |