Nacional vs Club River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
24.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 0
GEN
52%
26%
23%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
OLI
3 - 0
NAC
81%
14%
6%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 0
AME
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 2
GUA
29%
26%
45%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
SPO
0 - 3
NAC
41%
26%
32%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Club River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
RPA
0 - 1
OLI
8%
17%
75%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2019 |
AME
1 - 0
RPA
54%
25%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
RPA
0 - 1
GUA
26%
25%
49%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
RPA
0 - 0
SPO
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
DEP
0 - 1
RPA
46%
26%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |