Nacional vs Club River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2019 |
GEN
1 - 1
NAC
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 1
DEP
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 2
NAC
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 3
CCP
21%
24%
55%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
AME
3 - 1
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Club River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2019 |
RPA
2 - 2
OLI
9%
17%
74%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2019 |
RPA
0 - 1
GUA
25%
25%
49%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
GEN
0 - 1
RPA
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
RPA
1 - 0
DEP
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
LIB
2 - 1
RPA
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |