Nacional vs Club River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
21%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 3
LIB
32%
29%
39%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2016 |
AME
4 - 3
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 2
OLI
28%
27%
45%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
RÑU
2 - 1
NAC
47%
26%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 1
GUA
22%
24%
54%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Club River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
RPA
0 - 0
GEN
43%
27%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2016 |
LIB
3 - 1
RPA
65%
21%
13%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
RPA
0 - 1
LQE
24%
26%
51%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
AME
0 - 1
RPA
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
RPA
0 - 2
CCP
26%
27%
47%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |