Nacional vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
AME
3 - 0
NAC
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 5
CCP
37%
28%
36%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 0
NAC
30%
28%
42%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 1
RPA
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
LIB
1 - 2
NAC
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
AME
2 - 2
OLI
35%
24%
41%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 3
LIB
43%
24%
33%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
AME
1 - 0
OLI
32%
25%
43%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
OLI
1 - 1
LIB
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2021 |
OLI
4 - 0
LQE
63%
21%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |