Nacional vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 0
NAC
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 3
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 0
NAC
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 1
CCP
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 1
LQE
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 1
LQE
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
12O
2 - 1
OLI
22%
26%
53%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
OLI
0 - 1
SAN
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
GEN
1 - 1
OLI
31%
26%
42%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 2
GUA
41%
26%
34%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |