Nacional vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
23.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2010 |
TAC
1 - 2
NAC
22%
27%
51%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 2
NAC
25%
27%
49%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 0
LIB
42%
29%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2010 |
RÑU
1 - 1
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
NAC
4 - 3
SPC
67%
22%
11%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2010 |
OLI
1 - 1
SPT
70%
19%
10%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
OLI
2 - 1
TAC
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 0
OLI
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2010 |
OLI
1 - 1
LQE
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 3
OLI
30%
28%
43%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +1 |