Nacional vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
24.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
AME
0 - 0
NAC
21%
25%
54%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 0
RÑU
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
GEN
1 - 3
NAC
18%
26%
56%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 0
TAC
64%
23%
14%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
IND
5 - 1
NAC
25%
28%
47%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2011 |
VEL
3 - 0
LIB
61%
23%
16%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
RÑU
0 - 1
LIB
39%
28%
34%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
LIB
3 - 0
FLU
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2011 |
LIB
0 - 0
TAC
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
FLU
3 - 1
LIB
64%
21%
14%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |