Nacional vs Independiente FBC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
NAC
3 - 2
CDL
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
OLI
2 - 0
NAC
72%
18%
11%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 3
CCP
30%
26%
45%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 3
NAC
27%
28%
45%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
NAC
3 - 1
DEP
51%
24%
24%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CCP
2 - 0
IND
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2018 |
DEP
3 - 0
IND
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
IND
1 - 1
LQE
39%
25%
35%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
IND
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -4 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
IND
2 - 2
GEN
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |