Nacional vs Independiente FBC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
CCP
5 - 0
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 0
OLI
27%
25%
48%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +3 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
NAC
30%
27%
44%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
4 - 0
DEP
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 1
LIB
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
OLI
4 - 2
IND
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 1
IND
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +3 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
IND
3 - 1
LIB
26%
26%
47%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
AME
0 - 1
IND
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
CCP
4 - 0
IND
64%
21%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |