Nacional vs Independiente FBC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2017 |
SPT
1 - 1
NAC
36%
27%
36%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 0
GEN
45%
26%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CCP
3 - 1
NAC
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 2
CCP
33%
26%
41%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 4
GUA
34%
26%
41%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
IND
1 - 3
OLI
24%
26%
51%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
DEP
0 - 1
IND
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2017 |
IND
0 - 1
LIB
26%
27%
47%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
AME
3 - 1
IND
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2017 |
SPT
0 - 1
IND
43%
26%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |