Nacional vs Independiente FBC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
17.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2012 |
CER
5 - 0
NAC
26%
26%
48%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
NAC
3 - 1
CAR
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2012 |
CCP
2 - 1
NAC
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 2
LIB
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 0
OLI
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2012 |
IND
1 - 0
RÑU
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
IND
1 - 1
LQE
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
CER
1 - 1
IND
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
IND
1 - 1
CAR
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
CCP
1 - 2
IND
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |