Nacional vs Independiente FBC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
16%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
9.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 2
NAC
43%
28%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 2
OLI
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2010 |
TAC
1 - 2
NAC
22%
27%
51%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 2
NAC
25%
27%
49%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 0
LIB
42%
29%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
IND
0 - 3
OLI
34%
29%
38%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 2
IND
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
DEP
1 - 2
IND
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
IND
3 - 1
12O
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
GEN
2 - 0
IND
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |