Nacional vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
DEL
3 - 0
NAC
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
CCP
1 - 1
NAC
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
NAC
4 - 2
SAN
57%
24%
20%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 1
NAC
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 0
AME
46%
26%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 1
CCP
32%
25%
43%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
GUA
3 - 0
LQE
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
OLI
2 - 2
GUA
65%
19%
16%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 2
GUA
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
OLI
4 - 1
GUA
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |