Nacional vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
40.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 1
SLO
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
RÑU
1 - 2
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 0
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 3
DEP
54%
25%
22%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 0
DEF
46%
26%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 0
LQE
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
12O
1 - 1
GUA
16%
23%
62%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 6
GUA
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
GUA
3 - 1
AME
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 2
GUA
20%
24%
56%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |