Nacional vs General Díaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
RPA
1 - 1
NAC
31%
28%
42%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
NAC
4 - 3
CCP
18%
25%
57%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
AME
2 - 3
NAC
46%
27%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 0
GUA
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
LIB
0 - 2
NAC
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
General Díaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
OLI
4 - 2
GEN
85%
11%
4%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
GEN
0 - 0
RPA
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
CCP
3 - 1
GEN
79%
14%
6%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2020 |
GEN
2 - 5
AME
26%
26%
48%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 1
GEN
66%
21%
14%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |