Nacional vs General Díaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 0
NAC
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
AME
1 - 1
NAC
49%
26%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 2
LQE
48%
26%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2020 |
RPA
1 - 1
NAC
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 0
CCP
26%
25%
49%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
General Díaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
GEN
1 - 3
OLI
7%
16%
77%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
GEN
1 - 1
12O
55%
24%
20%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 0
GEN
77%
16%
7%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
GEN
2 - 1
SPO
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
LIB
5 - 1
GEN
74%
18%
9%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |