Nacional vs General Díaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
OLI
3 - 0
NAC
81%
14%
6%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 0
AME
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 2
GUA
29%
26%
45%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
SPO
0 - 3
NAC
41%
26%
32%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
NAC
3 - 0
DEP
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
General Díaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
GEN
0 - 1
SAN
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 0
GEN
84%
12%
4%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
GEN
2 - 2
CCP
18%
23%
59%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
AME
1 - 0
GEN
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
GEN
3 - 0
LQE
30%
26%
44%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +2 |