Nacional vs General Díaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
DEP
1 - 0
NAC
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
CCP
1 - 1
NAC
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 1
AME
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 4
OLI
18%
23%
59%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 2
NAC
44%
27%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
General Díaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
GEN
0 - 2
OLI
14%
21%
65%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
RPA
3 - 2
GEN
41%
26%
32%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 1
GEN
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2019 |
GEN
1 - 0
DEP
42%
26%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
LIB
4 - 0
GEN
63%
22%
14%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |