Nacional vs General Díaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
AME
0 - 0
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 1
LIB
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 1
CRZ
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
SPT
1 - 1
NAC
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
RÑU
1 - 2
NAC
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
General Díaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2017 |
GEN
0 - 3
RÑU
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2017 |
CCP
1 - 0
GEN
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
GEN
1 - 1
DEP
30%
26%
45%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 0
GEN
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2017 |
GEN
2 - 1
IND
37%
27%
37%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |