Nacional vs General Díaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
25.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
DEP
0 - 1
NAC
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
RÑU
3 - 1
NAC
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 0
OLI
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 1
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
General Díaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
GEN
1 - 2
OLI
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 2
GEN
63%
21%
17%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
GEN
3 - 0
AME
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
LQE
1 - 0
GEN
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 3
GEN
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |