Nacional vs General Caballero JLM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
24%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
6º
4º
28
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
LQE
2 - 2
NAC
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 0
2DE
48%
27%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
2DE
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2024 |
AME
1 - 0
NAC
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
LIB
45%
28%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
General Caballero JLM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
JLM
0 - 0
TAC
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
CCP
2 - 1
JLM
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
JLM
1 - 1
AME
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
OLI
0 - 0
JLM
56%
23%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
LQE
1 - 1
JLM
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |