Nacional vs Dep. Capiatá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 1
LIB
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 4
NAC
56%
23%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2018 |
LQE
1 - 3
NAC
39%
27%
33%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
MIN
0 - 0
NAC
41%
24%
35%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 1
AME
46%
25%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Capiatá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 4
LIB
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
AME
5 - 1
DEP
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 1
SAN
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
CCP
2 - 2
DEP
57%
23%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 1
SAN
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |