Nacional vs Dep. Capiatá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
40.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 3
GEN
47%
26%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
LQE
3 - 2
NAC
52%
25%
24%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
CCP
32%
28%
39%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
GEN
1 - 1
NAC
42%
27%
32%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 1
DEP
39%
26%
36%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Capiatá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 0
LQE
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2016 |
CCP
3 - 2
DEP
55%
22%
23%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2016 |
DEP
2 - 1
GEN
47%
25%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
RPA
1 - 1
DEP
25%
24%
51%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 1
DEP
39%
26%
36%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |