Nacional vs Dep. Capiatá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CCP
1 - 0
NAC
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 0
AME
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 1
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2015 |
GUA
4 - 0
NAC
63%
20%
16%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 4
LIB
32%
29%
39%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Capiatá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 1
GUA
24%
24%
52%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2015 |
LIB
3 - 3
DEP
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 1
LQE
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 2
DEP
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 0
GEN
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +2 |