Nacional vs Dep. Capiatá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
RÑU
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 0
NAC
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
3 - 4
GUA
25%
25%
50%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 1
AME
48%
28%
25%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
LQE
3 - 4
NAC
40%
28%
31%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Capiatá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
DEP
0 - 1
OLI
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 1
DEP
65%
19%
15%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 2
AME
46%
27%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2015 |
DEP
0 - 1
LQE
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 3
DEP
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |