Nacional vs Dep. Capiatá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 0
DEF
46%
26%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 6
GUA
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
OLI
2 - 0
NAC
44%
25%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 1
LIB
40%
28%
33%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2014 |
GEN
2 - 0
NAC
27%
27%
47%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Capiatá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2014 |
12O
0 - 2
DEP
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 0
CCP
30%
25%
44%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 0
GEN
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2014 |
RÑU
1 - 0
DEP
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 1
LQE
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |