Nacional vs Delfín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
38.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 2
GUA
39%
25%
36%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
DEL
3 - 0
NAC
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
CCP
1 - 1
NAC
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
NAC
4 - 2
SAN
57%
24%
20%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 1
NAC
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Delfín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
DEL
3 - 0
NAC
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
LIG
0 - 0
DEL
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
DEL
5 - 1
NAC
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
DEL
3 - 0
RIV
72%
19%
9%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
TEC
2 - 1
DEL
26%
26%
48%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |