Nacional vs 12 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 0
GUA
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 1
12O
63%
23%
14%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
12O
0 - 0
NAC
33%
25%
42%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
RPA
0 - 0
NAC
27%
27%
46%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
OLI
1 - 4
NAC
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
RPA
0 - 2
12O
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 1
12O
63%
23%
14%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
12O
0 - 0
NAC
33%
25%
42%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
12O
0 - 2
CCP
23%
25%
52%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 0
12O
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |