Nacional vs 12 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
12.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
NAC
29%
28%
44%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 1
RÑU
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 2
OLI
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 0
NAC
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 3
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
12O
0 - 1
LQE
33%
29%
39%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
12O
2 - 3
DEP
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
GEN
1 - 0
12O
56%
24%
19%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 2
12O
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
12O
2 - 1
OLI
22%
26%
53%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | +1 |