Nacional vs 2 de Mayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
11.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
NAC
36%
27%
38%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 0
CCP
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 2
RÑU
67%
21%
12%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2009 |
AME
0 - 3
NAC
38%
26%
35%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 1
2DE
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
2 de Mayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
2DE
1 - 2
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
2DE
0 - 1
GUA
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
2DE
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
2DE
1 - 0
LQE
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 1
2DE
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |